Wow, NBC has just come out with state polls showing Gingrichs surge unabated and Obama leading Gingrich and Romney in Florida (comfortably) and South Carolina (more narrowly).
http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/...
For a GE against Romney thats a 6% swing in SC, compared to 2008 against McCain. Replicated in all states that would result in a 451 to 87 blowout in the electoral college!
He leads Gingrich by 46 to 42 in SC. Thats a 6.5% swing. Replicated in all states that would result in exactly the same EC allocation: 451 to 87.
The closest (swing) states then would be Texas, SC, ND, AZ and SD possibly switching to the Republicans and Mississipi, KS, WV and Nebraska possibly switching to the blue column.
Wow.