While many polls seem to show a real possibility of PA voting for McCXain over Obama in the GE and many commentators in the loberal blogosphere have jumped on that bandwaggon, there are signs that any such fear is unwarranted.
Just look at Todays TIME poll out of PA. On the face of it, it shows HRC with a clear lead over Obama in the primary and also polling considerably better against McCain, narrowly winning PA, while Obama would loose.
Nothing ambigous here, it seems. Well, you'll have to look somwhat deeper into the polls internals, to finde out whats really going on here...
Roughly a quarter of Clinton voters -- 26%, the poll found -- say they 'would be more likely' to vote for John McCain in the general election if Obama is eventually the Democratic nominee. By contrast, only 16% of Obama's backers report they would be likely to vote for McCain if Clinton emerged as the party's nominee.
Wow, so much bitterness in the HRC ranks. But lets take a look at the favoribility ratings each candidate gets by all Democratic primary voters.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/...
And the picture changes completely:
HRC Obama
Very positive 38% 41%
Somewhat positive 39% 36%
Somewhat negative 13% 11%
Very negative 7% 7%
Neutral/No opinion 2% 3%
No answer/dont know 1% 2%
Only 7% of Democratic primary voters have a very negative opinion of Obama, but 26% of HRC supporters will vote for John McCain?
What we have here is typical posturing of voters who use their threat potential, to make the electablitity argument for their candidate.
In the end, I am confident that 80-85% of Dems in PA will vote for our nominee, whoever that will be. And Clinton, Gore and Kerry didint fare any better either.